OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

Northern Trust Open

2013-02-14 · The Riviera Country Club

Winner
John Merrick
Winning score
-11
Field
139
Field strength
+0.18 SG

The 2013 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 14 February 2013. John Merrick won at 11 under par (273). The winning card was 68, 66, 70 and 69, and the win paid $1,188,000. Charlie Beljan finished second, and Bill Haas, Charl Schwartzel and Freddie Jacobson tied for third. 139 players started the event. The field averaged +0.18 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 88% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 139. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.439
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
31.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (89th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jim Furyk1st13th
Matt Kuchar2nd38th
Phil Mickelson3rd21st
Sergio Garcia4th13th
Luke Donald5th16th
Webb Simpson6th6th
Adam Scott7th10th
Keegan Bradley8th16th
Ryan Moore9th27th
Vijay Singh10th51st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Charlie Beljan74th2nd(72)
Sangmoon Bae71st8th(63)
Ted Potter, Jr.66th10th(56)
Scott Piercy14th61st(+47)
Stewart Cink73rd27th(46)
Matt Every25th68th(+43)
John Merrick43rd1st(42)
Vijay Singh10th51st(+41)
Pat Perez12th51st(+39)
Luke Guthrie60th21st(39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Northern Trust Open in 2013?

John Merrick won the 2013 Northern Trust Open at The Riviera Country Club, finishing 11 under par.

Where was the 2013 Northern Trust Open played?

The 2013 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 14 February 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 Northern Trust Open?

The winning score was 11 under par (273 strokes), posted by John Merrick.

How many players were in the Northern Trust Open field?

139 players started the 2013 Northern Trust Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.