OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

Shell Houston Open

2013-03-28 · GC of Houston

Winner
D.A. Points
Winning score
-16
Field
150
Field strength
+0.058 SG

The 2013 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 28 March 2013. D.A. Points won at 16 under par (272), 1 stroke ahead of Billy Horschel. The winning card was 64, 71, 71 and 66, and the win paid $1,116,000. Billy Horschel and Henrik Stenson tied for second. 150 players started the event. The field averaged +0.058 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 150. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.493
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
27.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (96th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st45th
Steve Stricker2nd38th
Dustin Johnson3rd4th
Keegan Bradley4th10th
Phil Mickelson5th16th
Louis Oosthuizen6th10th
Pat Perez7th27th
Brendon de Jonge8th10th
Carl Pettersson9th65th
Lee Westwood10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Carl Pettersson9th65th(+56)
Jason Kokrak59th9th(50)
Ángel Cabrera61st16th(45)
Rory McIlroy1st45th(+44)
Stewart Cink49th6th(43)
Steve Wheatcroft64th22nd(42)
Doug LaBelle II63rd22nd(41)
D.A. Points40th1st(39)
Steve Stricker2nd38th(+36)
Jin Park67th31st(36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at GC of Houston in Humble, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Shell Houston Open in 2013?

D.A. Points won the 2013 Shell Houston Open at GC of Houston, finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2013 Shell Houston Open played?

The 2013 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 28 March 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 Shell Houston Open?

The winning score was 16 under par (272 strokes), posted by D.A. Points.

How many players were in the Shell Houston Open field?

150 players started the 2013 Shell Houston Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.