OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

PGA Championship

2013-08-08 · Oak Hill CC

Winner
Jason Dufner
Winning score
-10
Field
156
Field strength
+0.477 SG

The 2013 PGA Championship was played at Oak Hill CC, starting 8 August 2013. Jason Dufner won at 10 under par (270), 2 strokes ahead of Jim Furyk. The winning card was 68, 63, 71 and 68, and the win paid $1,445,000. Jim Furyk finished second, and Henrik Stenson was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.477 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 60% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.308
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
17.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (56th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Tiger Woods1st40th
Rory McIlroy2nd8th
Justin Rose3rd33rd
Jason Dufner4th1st
Matt Kuchar5th22nd
Jim Furyk6th2nd
Dustin Johnson7th8th
Phil Mickelson8th72nd
Adam Scott9th5th
Steve Stricker10th12th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Phil Mickelson8th72nd(+64)
Marc Warren70th12th(58)
Brandt Snedeker15th66th(+51)
Sergio Garcia11th61st(+50)
Kiradech Aphibarnrat72nd25th(47)
John Senden26th70th(+44)
Vijay Singh25th68th(+43)
David Toms49th7th(42)
Scott Jamieson71st29th(42)
Paul Casey74th33rd(41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Oak Hill CC in Rochester, New York, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2013?

Jason Dufner won the 2013 PGA Championship at Oak Hill CC, finishing 10 under par.

Where was the 2013 PGA Championship played?

The 2013 PGA Championship was played at Oak Hill CC, starting 8 August 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 10 under par (270 strokes), posted by Jason Dufner.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2013 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.