OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

Valero Texas Open

2013-04-04 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
Martin Laird
Winning score
-14
Field
146
Field strength
-0.048 SG

The 2013 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 4 April 2013. Martin Laird won at 14 under par (274), 2 strokes ahead of Rory McIlroy. The winning card was 70, 71, 70 and 63, and the win paid $1,116,000. Rory McIlroy finished second, and Billy Horschel, Charley Hoffman and Jim Furyk tied for third. 146 players started the event. The field averaged -0.048 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 74% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.442
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (89th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st22nd
Rory McIlroy2nd2nd
Jim Furyk3rd3rd
Charl Schwartzel4th22nd
Padraig Harrington5th10th
Ian Poulter6th37th
Ryan Palmer7th15th
Ben Curtis8th31st
Brendon de Jonge9th22nd
Bud Cauley10th31st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Every20th80th(+60)
John Huh14th72nd(+58)
Shane Lowry70th15th(55)
D.J. Trahan63rd15th(48)
Kyle Stanley34th79th(+45)
Russell Knox25th69th(+44)
Brian Gay19th61st(+42)
David Lynn55th14th(41)
Marcel Siem48th10th(38)
Jason Kokrak51st15th(36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2013?

Martin Laird won the 2013 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2013 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2013 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 4 April 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 14 under par (274 strokes), posted by Martin Laird.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

146 players started the 2013 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.