OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

AT&T National

2013-06-27 · Congressional CC (Blue)

Winner
Bill Haas
Winning score
-12
Field
133
Field strength
+0.062 SG

The 2013 AT&T National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 27 June 2013. Bill Haas won at 12 under par (272), 3 strokes ahead of Roberto Castro. The winning card was 70, 68, 68 and 66, and the win paid $1,170,000. Roberto Castro finished second, and D.H. Lee and Jason Kokrak tied for third. 133 players started the event. The field averaged +0.062 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 95% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 133. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.088
Top-20 hit rate
20%
Top-10 avg model rank
31.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (8th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jim Furyk1st44th
Adam Scott2nd57th
Jason Day3rd21st
Ryan Palmer4th34th
Pat Perez5th76th
Brandt Snedeker6th8th
John Senden7th72nd
Rickie Fowler8th21st
Robert Garrigus9th64th
Nick Watney10th61st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Pat Perez5th76th(+71)
D.H. Lee72nd3rd(69)
John Senden7th72nd(+65)
Adam Scott2nd57th(+55)
Robert Garrigus9th64th(+55)
Fabián Gómez76th21st(55)
Morgan Hoffmann61st8th(53)
Nick Watney10th61st(+51)
Brendon Todd64th13th(51)
Billy Horschel12th61st(+49)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Congressional CC (Blue) in Bethesda, Maryland, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T National in 2013?

Bill Haas won the 2013 AT&T National at Congressional CC (Blue), finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2013 AT&T National played?

The 2013 AT&T National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 27 June 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013 AT&T National?

The winning score was 12 under par (272 strokes), posted by Bill Haas.

How many players were in the AT&T National field?

133 players started the 2013 AT&T National. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.