OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013

Tavistock Cup

2013-03-25 · Isleworth G&CC

Winner
Ian Poulter
Field
22
Field strength
+0.841 SG

The 2013 Tavistock Cup was played at Isleworth G&CC, starting 25 March 2013. Ian Poulter won. The winning card was -, -, - and -, and the win paid $156,250. Graeme McDowell, Henrik Stenson, Peter Hanson and Ross Fisher tied for second, and Bill Haas, Fred Couples and Webb Simpson tied for third. 22 players started the event. The field averaged +0.841 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 77% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 22. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 22 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.357
Top-11 hit rate
64%
Top-10 avg model rank
9.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (72nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Tiger Woods1st1st
Justin Rose2nd1st
Adam Scott3rd6th
Webb Simpson4th3rd
Bo Van Pelt5th4th
Bill Haas6th3rd
Bubba Watson7th4th
Graeme McDowell8th2nd
Ian Poulter9th1st
Rickie Fowler10th5th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ross Fisher20th2nd(18)
Scott Verplank21st5th(16)
Tom Lewis22nd6th(16)
Peter Hanson17th2nd(15)
Fred Couples18th3rd(15)
Paul McGinley19th6th(13)
Tim Clark13th1st(12)
D.A. Points15th4th(11)
Brian Davis14th4th(10)
Martin Laird16th6th(10)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Isleworth G&CC in Windermere, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Tavistock Cup in 2013?

Ian Poulter won the 2013 Tavistock Cup at Isleworth G&CC.

Where was the 2013 Tavistock Cup played?

The 2013 Tavistock Cup was played at Isleworth G&CC, starting 25 March 2013.

How many players were in the Tavistock Cup field?

22 players started the 2013 Tavistock Cup. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.