OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2014-01-30 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Kevin Stadler
Winning score
-16
Field
126
Field strength
+0.111 SG

The 2013-2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 30 January 2014. Kevin Stadler won at 16 under par (268), 1 stroke ahead of Bubba Watson. The winning card was 65, 68, 67 and 68, and the win paid $1,116,000. Bubba Watson and Graham DeLaet tied for second. 126 players started the event. The field averaged +0.111 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 91% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 126. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.330
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (64th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Phil Mickelson1st42nd
Webb Simpson2nd10th
Bill Haas3rd34th
Brendon de Jonge4th53rd
Brandt Snedeker5th61st
Chris Kirk6th76th
Hunter Mahan7th4th
K.J. Choi8th42nd
Ryan Palmer9th48th
Graham DeLaet10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Chris Kirk6th76th(+70)
Brandt Snedeker5th61st(+56)
Michael Thompson69th19th(50)
Brendon de Jonge4th53rd(+49)
Vijay Singh28th77th(+49)
John Mallinger57th12th(45)
Scott Piercy60th15th(45)
Hideki Matsuyama47th4th(43)
Phil Mickelson1st42nd(+41)
Geoff Ogilvy70th29th(41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2013-2014?

Kevin Stadler won the 2013-2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2013-2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 30 January 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 16 under par (268 strokes), posted by Kevin Stadler.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

126 players started the 2013-2014 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.