OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Northern Trust Open

2014-02-13 · The Riviera Country Club

Winner
Bubba Watson
Winning score
-15
Field
141
Field strength
+0.161 SG

The 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 13 February 2014. Bubba Watson won at 15 under par (269), 2 strokes ahead of Dustin Johnson. The winning card was 70, 71, 64 and 64, and the win paid $1,206,000. Dustin Johnson finished second, and Brian Harman and Jason Allred tied for third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.161 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.219
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
29.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (30th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st45th
Jordan Spieth2nd12th
Webb Simpson3rd70th
Jim Furyk4th23rd
Keegan Bradley5th20th
Charl Schwartzel6th5th
Bill Haas7th23rd
Hunter Mahan8th52nd
Jimmy Walker9th20th
Graham DeLaet10th70th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jason Allred70th3rd(67)
Webb Simpson3rd70th(+67)
Graham DeLaet10th70th(+60)
Charlie Beljan69th12th(57)
Pat Perez22nd75th(+53)
Jason Dufner16th65th(+49)
Brian Harman50th3rd(47)
Sangmoon Bae58th12th(46)
Robert Allenby75th29th(46)
Matt Jones14th59th(+45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Northern Trust Open in 2013-2014?

Bubba Watson won the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open at The Riviera Country Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open played?

The 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 13 February 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Bubba Watson.

How many players were in the Northern Trust Open field?

141 players started the 2013-2014 Northern Trust Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.