OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard

2014-03-20 · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge

Winner
Matt Every
Winning score
-13
Field
118
Field strength
+0.218 SG

The 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 20 March 2014. Matt Every won at 13 under par (275), 1 stroke ahead of Keegan Bradley. The winning card was 69, 70, 66 and 70, and the win paid $1,116,000. Keegan Bradley finished second, and Adam Scott was third. 118 players started the event. The field averaged +0.218 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 118. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.333
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (65th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Keegan Bradley1st2nd
Henrik Stenson2nd5th
Zach Johnson3rd43rd
Adam Scott4th3rd
Ryan Moore5th60th
Chris Kirk6th60th
K.J. Choi7th60th
Kevin Na8th14th
Chris Stroud9th31st
Charles Howell III10th35th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sean O'Hair73rd10th(63)
Ryan Moore5th60th(+55)
Ryo Ishikawa63rd8th(55)
Chris Kirk6th60th(+54)
K.J. Choi7th60th(+53)
Francesco Molinari55th5th(50)
Erik Compton48th5th(43)
Zach Johnson3rd43rd(+40)
Pat Perez28th67th(+39)
Lucas Glover52nd14th(38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard in 2013-2014?

Matt Every won the 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard played?

The 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 20 March 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard?

The winning score was 13 under par (275 strokes), posted by Matt Every.

How many players were in the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard field?

118 players started the 2013-2014 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.