OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Shell Houston Open

2014-04-03 · GC of Houston

Winner
Matt Jones
Winning score
-15
Field
141
Field strength
+0.138 SG

The 2013-2014 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 3 April 2014. Matt Jones won at 15 under par (273). The winning card was 68, 68, 71 and 66, and the win paid $1,152,000. Matt Kuchar finished second, and Sergio Garcia was third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.138 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.309
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (57th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Steve Stricker1st24th
Henrik Stenson2nd54th
Keegan Bradley3rd43rd
Phil Mickelson4th12th
Matt Kuchar5th2nd
Sergio Garcia6th3rd
Webb Simpson7th61st
Luke Donald8th24th
Bill Haas9th37th
Charl Schwartzel10th19th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Retief Goosen69th7th(62)
Shawn Stefani64th5th(59)
Brice Garnett65th7th(58)
Webb Simpson7th61st(+54)
Henrik Stenson2nd54th(+52)
Roberto Castro25th76th(+51)
Chris Kirk15th65th(+50)
Ben Curtis62nd12th(50)
Jim Renner73rd24th(49)
Michael Putnam67th24th(43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at GC of Houston in Humble, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Shell Houston Open in 2013-2014?

Matt Jones won the 2013-2014 Shell Houston Open at GC of Houston, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Shell Houston Open played?

The 2013-2014 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 3 April 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Shell Houston Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Matt Jones.

How many players were in the Shell Houston Open field?

141 players started the 2013-2014 Shell Houston Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.