OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

John Deere Classic

2014-07-10 · TPC Deere Run

Winner
Brian Harman
Winning score
-22
Field
138
Field strength
-0.043 SG

The 2013-2014 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 10 July 2014. Brian Harman won at 22 under par (262), 1 stroke ahead of Zach Johnson. The winning card was 63, 68, 65 and 66, and the win paid $846,000. Zach Johnson finished second, and Jerry Kelly and Jhonattan Vegas tied for third. 138 players started the event. The field averaged -0.043 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 75% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 138. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.349
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (69th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Steve Stricker1st11th
Jordan Spieth2nd7th
Zach Johnson3rd2nd
Brendon de Jonge4th45th
Ryan Moore5th7th
Kevin Na6th13th
Jerry Kelly7th3rd
Charles Howell III8th23rd
David Hearn9th45th
Kevin Chappell10th52nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Harris English11th74th(+63)
Johnson Wagner69th7th(62)
Jhonattan Vegas60th3rd(57)
Chris Stroud12th59th(+47)
Kevin Chappell10th52nd(+42)
Brendon de Jonge4th45th(+41)
Tim Clark44th5th(39)
David Hearn9th45th(+36)
Brad Fritsch49th13th(36)
Troy Merritt56th20th(36)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Deere Run in Silvis, Illinois, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the John Deere Classic in 2013-2014?

Brian Harman won the 2013-2014 John Deere Classic at TPC Deere Run, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 John Deere Classic played?

The 2013-2014 John Deere Classic was played at TPC Deere Run, starting 10 July 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 John Deere Classic?

The winning score was 22 under par (262 strokes), posted by Brian Harman.

How many players were in the John Deere Classic field?

138 players started the 2013-2014 John Deere Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.