OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Valspar Championship

2014-03-13 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course

Winner
John Senden
Winning score
-7
Field
146
Field strength
+0.106 SG

The 2013-2014 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 13 March 2014. John Senden won at 7 under par (277), 1 stroke ahead of Kevin Na. The winning card was 72, 71, 64 and 70, and the win paid $1,026,000. Kevin Na finished second, and Scott Langley was third. 146 players started the event. The field averaged +0.106 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.303
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (54th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st20th
Jim Furyk2nd20th
Matt Kuchar3rd38th
Justin Rose4th8th
Luke Donald5th4th
Bill Haas6th14th
K.J. Choi7th44th
Graham DeLaet8th8th
Jason Dufner9th14th
Kevin Streelman10th38th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Boo Weekley16th84th(+68)
Matteo Manassero74th8th(66)
Scott Langley57th3rd(54)
Chesson Hadley66th14th(52)
Will MacKenzie55th4th(51)
Ken Duke32nd82nd(+50)
Brandt Snedeker11th58th(+47)
Rory Sabbatini23rd70th(+47)
Robert Allenby78th32nd(46)
Sangmoon Bae59th14th(45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valspar Championship in 2013-2014?

John Senden won the 2013-2014 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 7 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Valspar Championship played?

The 2013-2014 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 13 March 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Valspar Championship?

The winning score was 7 under par (277 strokes), posted by John Senden.

How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?

146 players started the 2013-2014 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.