OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2013-2014

Northwestern Mutual World Challenge

2013-12-05 · Sherwood CC

Winner
Zach Johnson
Winning score
-13
Field
18
Field strength
+1.083 SG

The 2013-2014 Northwestern Mutual World Challenge was played at Sherwood CC, starting 5 December 2013. Zach Johnson won at 13 under par (275). The winning card was 67, 68, 72 and 68, and the win paid $1,000,000. Tiger Woods finished second, and Bubba Watson and Matt Kuchar tied for third. 18 players started the event. The field averaged +1.083 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 18. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 18 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.255
Top-9 hit rate
44%
Top-10 avg model rank
9.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (41st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Tiger Woods1st2nd
Jim Furyk2nd8th
Webb Simpson3rd5th
Steve Stricker4th15th
Matt Kuchar5th3rd
Rory McIlroy6th11th
Keegan Bradley7th13th
Jason Dufner8th13th
Dustin Johnson9th18th
Zach Johnson10th1st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Steve Stricker4th15th(+11)
Bubba Watson14th3rd(11)
Ian Poulter17th7th(10)
Dustin Johnson9th18th(+9)
Zach Johnson10th1st(9)
Bill Haas16th9th(7)
Jim Furyk2nd8th(+6)
Keegan Bradley7th13th(+6)
Graeme McDowell12th6th(6)
Rory McIlroy6th11th(+5)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Sherwood CC in Thousand Oaks, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Northwestern Mutual World Challenge in 2013-2014?

Zach Johnson won the 2013-2014 Northwestern Mutual World Challenge at Sherwood CC, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2013-2014 Northwestern Mutual World Challenge played?

The 2013-2014 Northwestern Mutual World Challenge was played at Sherwood CC, starting 5 December 2013.

What was the winning score at the 2013-2014 Northwestern Mutual World Challenge?

The winning score was 13 under par (275 strokes), posted by Zach Johnson.

How many players were in the Northwestern Mutual World Challenge field?

18 players started the 2013-2014 Northwestern Mutual World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.