OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2015-01-29 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Brooks Koepka
Winning score
-15
Field
131
Field strength
+0.176 SG

The 2014-2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 29 January 2015. Brooks Koepka won at 15 under par (269), 1 stroke ahead of Bubba Watson. The winning card was 71, 68, 64 and 66, and the win paid $1,134,000. Bubba Watson, Hideki Matsuyama and Ryan Palmer tied for second. 131 players started the event. The field averaged +0.176 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 131. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.289
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
22.3

Grade is this event’s percentile (49th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st30th
Bill Haas2nd76th
Hideki Matsuyama3rd2nd
Bubba Watson4th2nd
Rickie Fowler5th46th
Kevin Na6th26th
Jordan Spieth7th7th
Keegan Bradley8th17th
Ryan Palmer9th2nd
Zach Johnson10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Bill Haas2nd76th(+74)
Jon Rahm71st5th(66)
Daniel Berger68th10th(58)
Martin Laird61st5th(56)
Charles Howell III26th71st(+45)
Brian Stuard55th10th(45)
Retief Goosen32nd74th(+42)
Rickie Fowler5th46th(+41)
Sung Joon Park70th30th(40)
Bryce Molder31st70th(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2014-2015?

Brooks Koepka won the 2014-2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2014-2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 29 January 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Brooks Koepka.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

131 players started the 2014-2015 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.