OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am

2015-02-12 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Brandt Snedeker
Winning score
-22
Field
147
Field strength
+0.019 SG

The 2014-2015 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 12 February 2015. Brandt Snedeker won at 22 under par (265), 3 strokes ahead of Nick Watney. The winning card was 64, 67, 67 and 67, and the win paid $1,224,000. Nick Watney finished second, and Charlie Beljan was third. 147 players started the event. The field averaged +0.019 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 72% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 147. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.288
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (49th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jim Furyk1st7th
Jimmy Walker2nd21st
Jason Day3rd4th
Jordan Spieth4th7th
Brandt Snedeker5th1st
Dustin Johnson6th4th
Graham DeLaet7th57th
Hunter Mahan8th54th
Kevin Chappell9th18th
Brendon Todd10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Charlie Beljan68th3rd(65)
Jon Curran66th10th(56)
Alex Prugh61st10th(51)
Graham DeLaet7th57th(+50)
Whee Kim70th21st(49)
Hunter Mahan8th54th(+46)
Marcel Siem63rd18th(45)
Andres Gonzales54th10th(44)
Ryan Armour73rd29th(44)
Jason Bohn24th65th(+41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am in 2014-2015?

Brandt Snedeker won the 2014-2015 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am played?

The 2014-2015 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 12 February 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am?

The winning score was 22 under par (265 strokes), posted by Brandt Snedeker.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am field?

147 players started the 2014-2015 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.