Tournaments / 2014-2015
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard
2015-03-19 · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge
- Winner
- Matt Every
- Winning score
- -19
- Field
- 118
- Field strength
- +0.257 SG
The 2014-2015 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 19 March 2015. Matt Every won at 19 under par (269), 1 stroke ahead of Henrik Stenson. The winning card was 68, 66, 69 and 66, and the win paid $1,134,000. Henrik Stenson finished second, and Matt Jones was third. 118 players started the event. The field averaged +0.257 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 118. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Matt Every
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 269
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- 2
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 270
- Matt Jones
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 271
- Morgan Hoffmann
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 273
- Ben Martin
- Pos
- 5
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 274
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 275
- Kevin Na
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 275
- Kiradech Aphibarnrat
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 275
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 276
- Zach Johnson
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 276
- Hudson Swafford
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 75
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 277
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 277
- Brandt Snedeker
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 278
- Daniel Berger
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- David Lingmerth
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 278
- Ernie Els
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 278
- D.A. Points
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 279
- Danny Lee
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 64
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 279
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Jason Day
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 279
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.252
- Top-20 hit rate
- 35%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 28.0
Grade is this event’s percentile (39th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Scott | 1st | 35th |
| Rory McIlroy | 2nd | 11th |
| Rickie Fowler | 3rd | 29th |
| Jason Day | 4th | 17th |
| Keegan Bradley | 5th | 49th |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 6th | 21st |
| Henrik Stenson | 7th | 2nd |
| Webb Simpson | 8th | 43rd |
| Kevin Na | 9th | 6th |
| Zach Johnson | 10th | 9th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Kiradech Aphibarnrat | 67th | 6th(−61) |
| D.A. Points | 69th | 17th(−52) |
| David Lingmerth | 64th | 13th(−51) |
| Freddie Jacobson | 24th | 69th(+45) |
| Keegan Bradley | 5th | 49th(+44) |
| Matt Every | 44th | 1st(−43) |
| Hudson Swafford | 54th | 11th(−43) |
| Carlos Ortiz | 63rd | 21st(−42) |
| Morgan Hoffmann | 43rd | 4th(−39) |
| Sam Saunders | 68th | 29th(−39) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
The venue
This event was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard in 2014-2015?
- Matt Every won the 2014-2015 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, finishing 19 under par.
Where was the 2014-2015 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard played?
- The 2014-2015 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 19 March 2015.
What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard?
- The winning score was 19 under par (269 strokes), posted by Matt Every.
How many players were in the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard field?
- 118 players started the 2014-2015 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by MasterCard. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.