OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Shell Houston Open

2015-04-02 · GC of Houston

Winner
J.B. Holmes
Winning score
-16
Field
141
Field strength
+0.066 SG

The 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 2 April 2015. J.B. Holmes won at 16 under par (272). The winning card was 65, 70, 73 and 64, and the win paid $1,188,000. Johnson Wagner and Jordan Spieth tied for second. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.066 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.295
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (51st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Sergio Garcia1st37th
Matt Kuchar2nd70th
Justin Rose3rd37th
Phil Mickelson4th17th
Charl Schwartzel5th42nd
Keegan Bradley6th5th
Jordan Spieth7th2nd
Rickie Fowler8th71st
Graham DeLaet9th42nd
Ryan Moore10th57th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar2nd70th(+68)
Johnson Wagner69th2nd(67)
Rickie Fowler8th71st(+63)
Ryan Moore10th57th(+47)
Charlie Beljan63rd17th(46)
Alex Cejka54th11th(43)
Victor Dubuisson60th17th(43)
Andrew Putnam68th25th(43)
Charl Schwartzel5th42nd(+37)
Whee Kim62nd25th(37)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at GC of Houston in Humble, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Shell Houston Open in 2014-2015?

J.B. Holmes won the 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open at GC of Houston, finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open played?

The 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 2 April 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open?

The winning score was 16 under par (272 strokes), posted by J.B. Holmes.

How many players were in the Shell Houston Open field?

141 players started the 2014-2015 Shell Houston Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.