OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Valspar Championship

2015-03-12 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course

Winner
Jordan Spieth
Winning score
-10
Field
145
Field strength
+0.099 SG

The 2014-2015 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 12 March 2015. Jordan Spieth won at 10 under par (274). The winning card was 70, 67, 68 and 69, and the win paid $1,062,000. Patrick Reed and Sean O'Hair tied for second. 145 players started the event. The field averaged +0.099 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 145. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.199
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
26.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (24th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st33rd
Jim Furyk2nd40th
Jordan Spieth3rd1st
Kevin Na4th10th
Henrik Stenson5th4th
Russell Knox6th33rd
Ryan Moore7th5th
Brandt Snedeker8th53rd
Harris English9th10th
Luke Donald10th53rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sean O'Hair63rd2nd(61)
Derek Ernst71st17th(54)
Troy Merritt52nd6th(46)
Brandt Snedeker8th53rd(+45)
Sam Saunders69th24th(45)
Luke Guthrie51st7th(44)
Nick Taylor68th24th(44)
Luke Donald10th53rd(+43)
Mark Wilson67th24th(43)
Nick Watney12th53rd(+41)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valspar Championship in 2014-2015?

Jordan Spieth won the 2014-2015 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 10 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Valspar Championship played?

The 2014-2015 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 12 March 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Valspar Championship?

The winning score was 10 under par (274 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?

145 players started the 2014-2015 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.