OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Hero World Challenge

2014-12-04 · Isleworth G&CC

Winner
Jordan Spieth
Winning score
-26
Field
18
Field strength
+1.243 SG

The 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge was played at Isleworth G&CC, starting 4 December 2014. Jordan Spieth won at 26 under par (262), 10 strokes ahead of Henrik Stenson. The winning card was 66, 67, 63 and 66, and the win paid $1,000,000. Henrik Stenson finished second, and Keegan Bradley and Patrick Reed tied for third. 18 players started the event. The field averaged +1.243 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 83% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 18. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 18 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.214
Top-9 hit rate
67%
Top-10 avg model rank
8.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (29th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Rose1st6th
Steve Stricker2nd14th
Matt Kuchar3rd8th
Henrik Stenson4th2nd
Jordan Spieth5th1st
Jason Day6th5th
Tiger Woods7th17th
Bubba Watson8th11th
Keegan Bradley9th3rd
Chris Kirk10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Reed18th3rd(15)
Steve Stricker2nd14th(+12)
Tiger Woods7th17th(+10)
Billy Horschel16th8th(8)
Keegan Bradley9th3rd(6)
Chris Kirk10th16th(+6)
Zach Johnson14th8th(6)
Justin Rose1st6th(+5)
Matt Kuchar3rd8th(+5)
Rickie Fowler11th6th(5)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Isleworth G&CC in Windermere, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Hero World Challenge in 2014-2015?

Jordan Spieth won the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge at Isleworth G&CC, finishing 26 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge played?

The 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge was played at Isleworth G&CC, starting 4 December 2014.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge?

The winning score was 26 under par (262 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the Hero World Challenge field?

18 players started the 2014-2015 Hero World Challenge. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.