OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2014-2015

Wells Fargo Championship

2015-05-14 · Quail Hollow Club

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-21
Field
152
Field strength
+0.01 SG

The 2014-2015 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 14 May 2015. Rory McIlroy won at 21 under par (267), 7 strokes ahead of Patrick Rodgers. The winning card was 70, 67, 61 and 69, and the win paid $1,278,000. Patrick Rodgers and Webb Simpson tied for second. 152 players started the event. The field averaged +0.01 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 91% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.213
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.4

Grade is this event’s percentile (28th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st1st
Phil Mickelson2nd4th
Bill Haas3rd68th
Hideki Matsuyama4th20th
Webb Simpson5th2nd
Ryan Moore6th47th
Henrik Stenson7th58th
Russell Knox8th58th
George McNeill9th28th
Patrick Reed10th58th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Patrick Rodgers73rd2nd(71)
Bill Haas3rd68th(+65)
Geoff Ogilvy67th7th(60)
Jonathan Randolph79th20th(59)
Freddie Jacobson21st79th(+58)
Tony Finau70th16th(54)
Henrik Stenson7th58th(+51)
Jim Herman64th13th(51)
Russell Knox8th58th(+50)
David Toms22nd72nd(+50)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2014-2015?

Rory McIlroy won the 2014-2015 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club, finishing 21 under par.

Where was the 2014-2015 Wells Fargo Championship played?

The 2014-2015 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 14 May 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2014-2015 Wells Fargo Championship?

The winning score was 21 under par (267 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the Wells Fargo Championship field?

152 players started the 2014-2015 Wells Fargo Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.