OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation

2016-01-21 · Pete Dye Stadium Course

Winner
Jason Dufner
Winning score
-25
Field
152
Field strength
+0.019 SG

The 2015-2016 CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 21 January 2016. Jason Dufner won at 25 under par (263). The winning card was 64, 65, 64 and 70, and the win paid $1,044,000. David Lingmerth finished second, and Andrew Loupe, Kevin Na and Phil Mickelson tied for third. 152 players started the event. The field averaged +0.019 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.151
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
29.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (14th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st49th
Ryan Palmer2nd17th
Kevin Na3rd3rd
Brendan Steele4th34th
Webb Simpson5th17th
Patrick Reed6th56th
Francesco Molinari7th62nd
Jason Dufner8th1st
Bill Haas9th9th
Cameron Tringale10th14th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Luke List70th6th(64)
Andrew Loupe61st3rd(58)
Francesco Molinari7th62nd(+55)
Kevin Chappell12th66th(+54)
Patrick Reed6th56th(+50)
Matt Kuchar1st49th(+48)
Freddie Jacobson23rd69th(+46)
Martin Piller69th24th(45)
Bud Cauley50th14th(36)
Si Woo Kim43rd9th(34)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course in La Quinta, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation in 2015-2016?

Jason Dufner won the 2015-2016 CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation at Pete Dye Stadium Course, finishing 25 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation played?

The 2015-2016 CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation was played at Pete Dye Stadium Course, starting 21 January 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation?

The winning score was 25 under par (263 strokes), posted by Jason Dufner.

How many players were in the CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation field?

152 players started the 2015-2016 CareerBuilder Challenge in partnership with the Clinton Foundation. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.