OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2016-02-04 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Hideki Matsuyama
Winning score
-14
Field
131
Field strength
+0.146 SG

The 2015-2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 4 February 2016. Hideki Matsuyama won at 14 under par (270). The winning card was 65, 70, 68 and 67, and the win paid $1,170,000. Rickie Fowler finished second, and Harris English was third. 131 players started the event. The field averaged +0.146 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 131. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.473
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (94th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st1st
Bubba Watson2nd14th
Zach Johnson3rd14th
Brooks Koepka4th41st
Kevin Na5th24th
Robert Streb6th37th
Rickie Fowler7th2nd
Webb Simpson8th14th
Ryan Palmer9th24th
Brendan Steele10th17th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Daniel Summerhays24th67th(+43)
Shane Lowry49th6th(43)
Matt Every67th24th(43)
Matt Jones22nd60th(+38)
Brooks Koepka4th41st(+37)
Daniel Berger21st58th(+37)
Boo Weekley42nd5th(37)
Jon Curran48th11th(37)
Brendon Todd23rd56th(+33)
Tyrone Van Aswegen50th17th(33)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2015-2016?

Hideki Matsuyama won the 2015-2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2015-2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 4 February 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 14 under par (270 strokes), posted by Hideki Matsuyama.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

131 players started the 2015-2016 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.