OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Northern Trust Open

2016-02-18 · The Riviera Country Club

Winner
Bubba Watson
Winning score
-15
Field
144
Field strength
+0.145 SG

The 2015-2016 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 18 February 2016. Bubba Watson won at 15 under par (269), 1 stroke ahead of Adam Scott. The winning card was 66, 68, 67 and 68, and the win paid $1,224,000. Adam Scott and Jason Kokrak tied for second. 144 players started the event. The field averaged +0.145 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 144. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 76 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.311
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (58th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st11th
Rory McIlroy2nd20th
Bubba Watson3rd1st
Justin Rose4th16th
Matt Kuchar5th8th
Paul Casey6th39th
Steve Stricker7th11th
Justin Thomas8th54th
Dustin Johnson9th4th
J.B. Holmes10th11th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sung Kang76th8th(68)
Luke List75th20th(55)
Jason Dufner15th68th(+53)
Troy Merritt64th11th(53)
Cameron Tringale16th68th(+52)
Brian Harman23rd72nd(+49)
Charles Howell III27th75th(+48)
Nick Taylor73rd26th(47)
Justin Thomas8th54th(+46)
Charley Hoffman21st63rd(+42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at The Riviera Country Club in Pacific Palisades, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Northern Trust Open in 2015-2016?

Bubba Watson won the 2015-2016 Northern Trust Open at The Riviera Country Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Northern Trust Open played?

The 2015-2016 Northern Trust Open was played at The Riviera Country Club, starting 18 February 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Northern Trust Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Bubba Watson.

How many players were in the Northern Trust Open field?

144 players started the 2015-2016 Northern Trust Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.