Tournaments / 2015-2016
RBC Heritage
2016-04-14 · Harbour Town Golf Links
- Winner
- Branden Grace
- Winning score
- -9
- Field
- 131
- Field strength
- +0.103 SG
The 2015-2016 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 14 April 2016. Branden Grace won at 9 under par (275), 2 strokes ahead of Luke Donald. The winning card was 66, 74, 69 and 66, and the win paid $1,062,000. Luke Donald and Russell Knox tied for second. 131 players started the event. The field averaged +0.103 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 131. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Branden Grace
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 74
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 275
- Luke Donald
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 66
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 277
- Russell Knox
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 65
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Bryson DeChambeau
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 279
- Kevin Na
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Bryce Molder
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 280
- Jason Kokrak
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 280
- Whee Kim
- Pos
- T6
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 280
- Aaron Baddeley
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 281
- Kevin Chappell
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 75
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 281
- Matt Kuchar
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 281
- Ricky Barnes
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 281
- William McGirt
- Pos
- T9
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 281
- Bill Haas
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 282
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 282
- Colt Knost
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 282
- David Toms
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 282
- Ernie Els
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 66
- Total
- 282
- Graham DeLaet
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 282
- Patton Kizzire
- Pos
- T14
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 74
- Total
- 282
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.254
- Top-20 hit rate
- 40%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 28.1
Grade is this event’s percentile (40th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Jason Day | 1st | 23rd |
| Matt Kuchar | 2nd | 9th |
| Justin Thomas | 3rd | 75th |
| Zach Johnson | 4th | 33rd |
| Kevin Na | 5th | 4th |
| Russell Knox | 6th | 2nd |
| Webb Simpson | 7th | 66th |
| Bill Haas | 8th | 14th |
| Ryan Palmer | 9th | 71st |
| Jason Dufner | 10th | 54th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Justin Thomas | 3rd | 75th(+72) |
| Tyler Aldridge | 81st | 14th(−67) |
| Ryan Palmer | 9th | 71st(+62) |
| Whee Kim | 67th | 6th(−61) |
| Webb Simpson | 7th | 66th(+59) |
| Kevin Kisner | 12th | 69th(+57) |
| Bryson DeChambeau | 61st | 4th(−57) |
| Ricky Barnes | 66th | 9th(−57) |
| Ernie Els | 71st | 14th(−57) |
| Jason Bohn | 14th | 69th(+55) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
The venue
This event was played at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the RBC Heritage in 2015-2016?
- Branden Grace won the 2015-2016 RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links, finishing 9 under par.
Where was the 2015-2016 RBC Heritage played?
- The 2015-2016 RBC Heritage was played at Harbour Town Golf Links, starting 14 April 2016.
What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 RBC Heritage?
- The winning score was 9 under par (275 strokes), posted by Branden Grace.
How many players were in the RBC Heritage field?
- 131 players started the 2015-2016 RBC Heritage. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.