OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Masters Tournament

2016-04-07 · Augusta National Golf Club

Winner
Danny Willett
Winning score
-5
Field
89
Field strength
+0.555 SG

The 2015-2016 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 7 April 2016. Danny Willett won at 5 under par (283), 3 strokes ahead of Jordan Spieth. The winning card was 70, 74, 72 and 67, and the win paid $1,800,000. Jordan Spieth and Lee Westwood tied for second. 89 players started the event. The field averaged +0.555 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 64% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 89. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 57 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.348
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (69th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st2nd
Jason Day2nd10th
Rory McIlroy3rd10th
Henrik Stenson4th24th
Justin Rose5th10th
Bubba Watson6th37th
Hideki Matsuyama7th7th
Dustin Johnson8th4th
Paul Casey9th4th
Sergio Garcia10th34th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Søren Kjeldsen53rd7th(46)
Kevin Na16th55th(+39)
Matt Fitzpatrick42nd7th(35)
Keegan Bradley19th52nd(+33)
Danny Willett33rd1st(32)
Ángel Cabrera56th24th(32)
Bubba Watson6th37th(+31)
Patrick Reed18th49th(+31)
Kiradech Aphibarnrat43rd15th(28)
Adam Scott15th42nd(+27)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Masters Tournament in 2015-2016?

Danny Willett won the 2015-2016 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club, finishing 5 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Masters Tournament played?

The 2015-2016 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 7 April 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Masters Tournament?

The winning score was 5 under par (283 strokes), posted by Danny Willett.

How many players were in the Masters Tournament field?

89 players started the 2015-2016 Masters Tournament. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.