OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide

2016-06-02 · Muirfield Village Golf Club

Winner
William McGirt
Winning score
-15
Field
119
Field strength
+0.233 SG

The 2015-2016 the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide was played at Muirfield Village Golf Club, starting 2 June 2016. William McGirt won at 15 under par (273). The winning card was 70, 68, 64 and 71, and the win paid $1,530,000. Jon Curran finished second, and Dustin Johnson was third. 119 players started the event. The field averaged +0.233 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 119. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.176
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (18th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st57th
Jason Day2nd27th
Rory McIlroy3rd4th
Bubba Watson4th65th
Matt Kuchar5th4th
Jim Furyk6th52nd
Russell Knox7th64th
Dustin Johnson8th3rd
Kevin Na9th74th
Webb Simpson10th11th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Na9th74th(+65)
Bubba Watson4th65th(+61)
Jon Curran61st2nd(59)
Emiliano Grillo69th11th(58)
Russell Knox7th64th(+57)
Jordan Spieth1st57th(+56)
Luke Donald14th68th(+54)
Byeong Hun An64th11th(53)
Daniel Berger16th67th(+51)
Smylie Kaufman68th20th(48)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide in 2015-2016?

William McGirt won the 2015-2016 the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide at Muirfield Village Golf Club, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide played?

The 2015-2016 the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide was played at Muirfield Village Golf Club, starting 2 June 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by William McGirt.

How many players were in the the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide field?

119 players started the 2015-2016 the Memorial Tournament presented by Nationwide. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.