OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

FedEx St. Jude Classic

2016-06-09 · TPC Southwind

Winner
Daniel Berger
Winning score
-13
Field
144
Field strength
-0.109 SG

The 2015-2016 FedEx St. Jude Classic was played at TPC Southwind, starting 9 June 2016. Daniel Berger won at 13 under par (267), 3 strokes ahead of Brooks Koepka. The winning card was 67, 64, 69 and 67, and the win paid $1,116,000. Brooks Koepka, Phil Mickelson and Steve Stricker tied for second. 144 players started the event. The field averaged -0.109 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 75% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 144. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.196
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (23rd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Steve Stricker1st2nd
Ryan Palmer2nd68th
Brooks Koepka3rd2nd
Harris English4th26th
Phil Mickelson5th2nd
Dustin Johnson6th5th
Francesco Molinari7th34th
David Hearn8th41st
Chad Campbell9th34th
Tom Hoge10th34th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Ryan Palmer2nd68th(+66)
Brett Stegmaier62nd9th(53)
Brian Gay57th6th(51)
Abraham Ancer69th18th(51)
Justin Hicks23rd70th(+47)
Ken Duke53rd9th(44)
Michael Kim60th16th(44)
Wes Roach61st18th(43)
Zac Blair25th65th(+40)
Camilo Villegas20th58th(+38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the FedEx St. Jude Classic in 2015-2016?

Daniel Berger won the 2015-2016 FedEx St. Jude Classic at TPC Southwind, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 FedEx St. Jude Classic played?

The 2015-2016 FedEx St. Jude Classic was played at TPC Southwind, starting 9 June 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 FedEx St. Jude Classic?

The winning score was 13 under par (267 strokes), posted by Daniel Berger.

How many players were in the FedEx St. Jude Classic field?

144 players started the 2015-2016 FedEx St. Jude Classic. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.