OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

The Barclays

2016-08-25 · Bethpage State Park (Black)

Winner
Patrick Reed
Winning score
-9
Field
120
Field strength
+0.452 SG

The 2015-2016 The Barclays was played at Bethpage State Park (Black), starting 25 August 2016. Patrick Reed won at 9 under par (275), 1 stroke ahead of Emiliano Grillo. The winning card was 66, 68, 71 and 70, and the win paid $1,530,000. Emiliano Grillo and Sean O'Hair tied for second. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.452 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 99% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 79 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.175
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (18th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st10th
Jason Day2nd4th
Rory McIlroy3rd31st
Bubba Watson4th13th
Steve Stricker5th53rd
Justin Rose6th31st
Brooks Koepka7th70th
Dustin Johnson8th18th
Matt Kuchar9th64th
Rickie Fowler10th7th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Sean O'Hair66th2nd(64)
Brooks Koepka7th70th(+63)
Sung Kang79th18th(61)
Emiliano Grillo60th2nd(58)
Matt Kuchar9th64th(+55)
Jhonattan Vegas75th22nd(53)
Martin Laird69th18th(51)
Steve Stricker5th53rd(+48)
Jamie Lovemark68th22nd(46)
Robert Streb25th70th(+45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Bethpage State Park (Black) in Farmingdale, New York, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the The Barclays in 2015-2016?

Patrick Reed won the 2015-2016 The Barclays at Bethpage State Park (Black), finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 The Barclays played?

The 2015-2016 The Barclays was played at Bethpage State Park (Black), starting 25 August 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 The Barclays?

The winning score was 9 under par (275 strokes), posted by Patrick Reed.

How many players were in the The Barclays field?

120 players started the 2015-2016 The Barclays. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.