OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

RBC Canadian Open

2016-07-21 · Glen Abbey GC

Winner
Jhonattan Vegas
Winning score
-12
Field
147
Field strength
-0.051 SG

The 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open was played at Glen Abbey GC, starting 21 July 2016. Jhonattan Vegas won at 12 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Dustin Johnson. The winning card was 73, 69, 70 and 64, and the win paid $1,062,000. Dustin Johnson, Jon Rahm and Martin Laird tied for second. 147 players started the event. The field averaged -0.051 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 86% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 147. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 79 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.414
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
27.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (84th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jason Day1st14th
Matt Kuchar2nd9th
Jim Furyk3rd13th
Ryan Palmer4th43rd
Brandt Snedeker5th5th
Dustin Johnson6th2nd
Jimmy Walker7th14th
Chris Kirk8th14th
Robert Streb9th32nd
Chad Campbell10th26th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tony Finau13th70th(+57)
Geoff Ogilvy65th9th(56)
Roberto Castro16th65th(+49)
Jhonattan Vegas50th1st(49)
Luke List63rd14th(49)
William McGirt11th59th(+48)
Kelly Kraft74th26th(48)
Michael Thompson58th14th(44)
Rhein Gibson76th32nd(44)
Vijay Singh17th59th(+42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Glen Abbey GC in Oakville,Ontario, CAN. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the RBC Canadian Open in 2015-2016?

Jhonattan Vegas won the 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open at Glen Abbey GC, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open played?

The 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open was played at Glen Abbey GC, starting 21 July 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open?

The winning score was 12 under par (276 strokes), posted by Jhonattan Vegas.

How many players were in the RBC Canadian Open field?

147 players started the 2015-2016 RBC Canadian Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.