OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

PGA Championship

2016-07-28 · Baltusrol GC

Winner
Jimmy Walker
Winning score
-14
Field
156
Field strength
+0.531 SG

The 2015-2016 PGA Championship was played at Baltusrol GC, starting 28 July 2016. Jimmy Walker won at 14 under par (266), 1 stroke ahead of Jason Day. The winning card was 65, 66, 68 and 67, and the win paid $1,800,000. Jason Day finished second, and Daniel Summerhays was third. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.531 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 58% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 86 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.298
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
20.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (52nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st13th
Jason Day2nd2nd
Henrik Stenson3rd7th
Steve Stricker4th42nd
Justin Rose5th22nd
Bubba Watson6th60th
Hideki Matsuyama7th4th
Brooks Koepka8th4th
Zach Johnson9th33rd
Rickie Fowler10th33rd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Lee Westwood18th85th(+67)
Padraig Harrington78th13th(65)
Jim Furyk11th73rd(+62)
Bubba Watson6th60th(+54)
Justin Thomas13th66th(+53)
Daniel Berger20th73rd(+53)
Yuta Ikeda85th33rd(52)
Hideto Tanihara83rd33rd(50)
Jhonattan Vegas71st22nd(49)
Joost Luiten82nd33rd(49)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Baltusrol GC in Springfield, New Jersey, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the PGA Championship in 2015-2016?

Jimmy Walker won the 2015-2016 PGA Championship at Baltusrol GC, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 PGA Championship played?

The 2015-2016 PGA Championship was played at Baltusrol GC, starting 28 July 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 PGA Championship?

The winning score was 14 under par (266 strokes), posted by Jimmy Walker.

How many players were in the PGA Championship field?

156 players started the 2015-2016 PGA Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.