OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

TOUR Championship

2016-09-22 · East Lake Golf Club

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-12
Field
30
Field strength
+0.979 SG

The 2015-2016 TOUR Championship was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 22 September 2016. Rory McIlroy won at 12 under par (268). The winning card was 68, 70, 66 and 64, and the win paid $1,530,000. Kevin Chappell and Ryan Moore tied for second. 30 players started the event. The field averaged +0.979 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 30. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 29 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.156
Top-14 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
10.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (14th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st17th
Rory McIlroy2nd1st
Bubba Watson3rd10th
Dustin Johnson4th6th
Hideki Matsuyama5th5th
Paul Casey6th4th
Matt Kuchar7th15th
Phil Mickelson8th22nd
J.B. Holmes9th27th
Patrick Reed10th24th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Chappell23rd2nd(21)
J.B. Holmes9th27th(+18)
Si Woo Kim28th10th(18)
Kevin Na12th29th(+17)
Ryan Moore19th2nd(17)
Jordan Spieth1st17th(+16)
Emiliano Grillo26th10th(16)
Phil Mickelson8th22nd(+14)
Patrick Reed10th24th(+14)
Russell Knox11th23rd(+12)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the TOUR Championship in 2015-2016?

Rory McIlroy won the 2015-2016 TOUR Championship at East Lake Golf Club, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 TOUR Championship played?

The 2015-2016 TOUR Championship was played at East Lake Golf Club, starting 22 September 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 TOUR Championship?

The winning score was 12 under par (268 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the TOUR Championship field?

30 players started the 2015-2016 TOUR Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.