OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

OHL Classic at Mayakoba

2015-11-12 · El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba

Winner
Graeme McDowell
Winning score
-18
Field
128
Field strength
-0.055 SG

The 2015-2016 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 12 November 2015. Graeme McDowell won at 18 under par (266). The winning card was 67, 63, 70 and 66, and the win paid $1,116,000. Jason Bohn and Russell Knox tied for second. 128 players started the event. The field averaged -0.055 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 82% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 128. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.210
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (27th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st68th
Russell Knox2nd2nd
Keegan Bradley3rd8th
Jerry Kelly4th34th
Charles Howell III5th17th
Brian Harman6th40th
Graeme McDowell7th1st
David Hearn8th74th
Will Wilcox9th17th
Jason Dufner10th40th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Derek Fathauer76th4th(72)
Matt Kuchar1st68th(+67)
David Hearn8th74th(+66)
Hunter Stewart74th10th(64)
Harold Varner III68th5th(63)
Chez Reavie17th74th(+57)
Cameron Beckman75th25th(50)
Brendon de Jonge13th58th(+45)
Zac Blair55th10th(45)
Bronson Burgoon70th25th(45)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba in Riviera Maya, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the OHL Classic at Mayakoba in 2015-2016?

Graeme McDowell won the 2015-2016 OHL Classic at Mayakoba at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 OHL Classic at Mayakoba played?

The 2015-2016 OHL Classic at Mayakoba was played at El Camaleón Golf Course at Mayakoba, starting 12 November 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 OHL Classic at Mayakoba?

The winning score was 18 under par (266 strokes), posted by Graeme McDowell.

How many players were in the OHL Classic at Mayakoba field?

128 players started the 2015-2016 OHL Classic at Mayakoba. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.