OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Frys.com Open

2015-10-15 · Silverado Resort (North Course)

Winner
Emiliano Grillo
Winning score
-15
Field
141
Field strength
-0.009 SG

The 2015-2016 Frys.com Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 15 October 2015. Emiliano Grillo won at 15 under par (273). The winning card was 68, 71, 65 and 69, and the win paid $1,080,000. Kevin Na finished second, and Jason Bohn, Justin Thomas and Tyrone Van Aswegen tied for third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged -0.009 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 90% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 82 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.283
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
29.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (48th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st26th
Justin Rose2nd6th
Hideki Matsuyama3rd17th
Kevin Na4th2nd
Charl Schwartzel5th6th
Brooks Koepka6th41st
Brandt Snedeker7th17th
Chris Kirk8th81st
Jerry Kelly9th41st
Cameron Tringale10th64th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Chris Kirk8th81st(+73)
Smylie Kaufman81st10th(71)
Andrew Loupe78th10th(68)
Patrick Rodgers67th6th(61)
Tyrone Van Aswegen61st3rd(58)
Cameron Tringale10th64th(+54)
Jhonattan Vegas62nd10th(52)
Mark Hubbard80th30th(50)
Miguel Angel Carballo82nd32nd(50)
Emiliano Grillo48th1st(47)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Frys.com Open in 2015-2016?

Emiliano Grillo won the 2015-2016 Frys.com Open at Silverado Resort (North Course), finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Frys.com Open played?

The 2015-2016 Frys.com Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 15 October 2015.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Frys.com Open?

The winning score was 15 under par (273 strokes), posted by Emiliano Grillo.

How many players were in the Frys.com Open field?

141 players started the 2015-2016 Frys.com Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.