OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Quicken Loans National

2016-06-23 · Congressional CC (Blue)

Winner
Billy Hurley III
Winning score
-17
Field
119
Field strength
+0.054 SG

The 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 23 June 2016. Billy Hurley III won at 17 under par (267), 3 strokes ahead of Vijay Singh. The winning card was 66, 65, 67 and 69, and the win paid $1,242,000. Vijay Singh finished second, and Bill Haas and Jon Rahm tied for third. 119 players started the event. The field averaged +0.054 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 93% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 119. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.060
Top-20 hit rate
25%
Top-10 avg model rank
39.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (5th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st44th
Jim Furyk2nd21st
Justin Thomas3rd12th
Patrick Reed4th39th
Brendan Steele5th39th
Webb Simpson6th6th
Keegan Bradley7th57th
Charley Hoffman8th57th
Bill Haas9th3rd
Kevin Chappell10th44th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Rob Oppenheim70th10th(60)
Andres Gonzales71st12th(59)
Tony Finau16th74th(+58)
Robert Garrigus64th8th(56)
Smylie Kaufman65th10th(55)
Harold Varner III61st7th(54)
Charles Howell III24th75th(+51)
Jon Rahm54th3rd(51)
Ernie Els56th5th(51)
Keegan Bradley7th57th(+50)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Congressional CC (Blue) in Bethesda, Maryland, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Quicken Loans National in 2015-2016?

Billy Hurley III won the 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National at Congressional CC (Blue), finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National played?

The 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National was played at Congressional CC (Blue), starting 23 June 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National?

The winning score was 17 under par (267 strokes), posted by Billy Hurley III.

How many players were in the Quicken Loans National field?

119 players started the 2015-2016 Quicken Loans National. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.