OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship

2016-03-03 · Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course

Winner
Adam Scott
Winning score
-12
Field
68
Field strength
+0.725 SG

The 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course, starting 3 March 2016. Adam Scott won at 12 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Bubba Watson. The winning card was 68, 66, 73 and 69, and the win paid $1,620,000. Bubba Watson finished second, and Danny Willett and Rory McIlroy tied for third. 68 players started the event. The field averaged +0.725 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 66% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 68. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 64 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.452
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
19.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (91st) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st17th
Rory McIlroy2nd3rd
Henrik Stenson3rd28th
Jason Day4th23rd
Bubba Watson5th2nd
Justin Rose6th17th
Hideki Matsuyama7th35th
Brooks Koepka8th23rd
Dustin Johnson9th14th
Rickie Fowler10th8th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
J.B. Holmes15th59th(+44)
Rafa Cabrera Bello53rd11th(42)
Andy Sullivan58th17th(41)
Bernd Wiesberger54th14th(40)
Smylie Kaufman46th8th(38)
Patrick Reed18th52nd(+34)
Anirban Lahiri62nd28th(34)
Zach Johnson16th47th(+31)
Søren Kjeldsen59th28th(31)
Danny Willett32nd3rd(29)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course in Miami, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship in 2015-2016?

Adam Scott won the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship played?

The 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship was played at Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course, starting 3 March 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship?

The winning score was 12 under par (276 strokes), posted by Adam Scott.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship field?

68 players started the 2015-2016 World Golf Championships-Cadillac Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.