Tournaments / 2015-2016
Valspar Championship
2016-03-10 · Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course
- Winner
- Charl Schwartzel
- Winning score
- -7
- Field
- 146
- Field strength
- +0.077 SG
The 2015-2016 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 10 March 2016. Charl Schwartzel won at 7 under par (277). The winning card was 71, 70, 69 and 67, and the win paid $1,098,000. Bill Haas finished second, and Ryan Moore was third. 146 players started the event. The field averaged +0.077 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 146. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Charl Schwartzel
- Pos
- P1
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 277
- Bill Haas
- Pos
- P2
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 277
- Ryan Moore
- Pos
- 3
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 279
- Lee McCoy
- Pos
- 4
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 66
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 280
- Charles Howell III
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 281
- Graham DeLaet
- Pos
- T5
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 281
- Louis Oosthuizen
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 282
- Patrick Reed
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Scott Brown
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 282
- Steve Stricker
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 282
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 283
- Daniel Berger
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 283
- George McNeill
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 70
- Total
- 283
- Henrik Stenson
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 283
- Jason Gore
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 283
- Matt Kuchar
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 283
- Retief Goosen
- Pos
- T11
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 283
- Brett Stegmaier
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 284
- Jordan Spieth
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 76
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 284
- Justin Leonard
- Pos
- T18
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 284
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 69 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.354
- Top-20 hit rate
- 60%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 20.9
Grade is this event’s percentile (72nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Spieth | 1st | 18th |
| Henrik Stenson | 2nd | 11th |
| Matt Kuchar | 3rd | 11th |
| Steve Stricker | 4th | 7th |
| Justin Thomas | 5th | 18th |
| Ryan Palmer | 6th | 42nd |
| Kevin Na | 7th | 22nd |
| Ryan Moore | 8th | 3rd |
| Russell Knox | 9th | 56th |
| Jason Dufner | 10th | 22nd |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Lee McCoy | 69th | 4th(−65) |
| Retief Goosen | 63rd | 11th(−52) |
| Russell Knox | 9th | 56th(+47) |
| K.J. Choi | 18th | 62nd(+44) |
| Kevin Chappell | 23rd | 67th(+44) |
| Sung Kang | 66th | 22nd(−44) |
| Brett Stegmaier | 60th | 18th(−42) |
| Ian Poulter | 27th | 67th(+40) |
| Ryan Palmer | 6th | 42nd(+36) |
| Vijay Singh | 29th | 64th(+35) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
The venue
This event was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course in Palm Harbor, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Valspar Championship in 2015-2016?
- Charl Schwartzel won the 2015-2016 Valspar Championship at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, finishing 7 under par.
Where was the 2015-2016 Valspar Championship played?
- The 2015-2016 Valspar Championship was played at Innisbrook Resort and Golf Club - Copperhead Course, starting 10 March 2016.
What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Valspar Championship?
- The winning score was 7 under par (277 strokes), posted by Charl Schwartzel.
How many players were in the Valspar Championship field?
- 146 players started the 2015-2016 Valspar Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.