OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Wells Fargo Championship

2016-05-05 · Quail Hollow Club

Winner
James Hahn
Winning score
-9
Field
153
Field strength
+0.066 SG

The 2015-2016 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 5 May 2016. James Hahn won at 9 under par (279). The winning card was 70, 71, 68 and 70, and the win paid $1,314,000. Roberto Castro finished second, and Justin Rose was third. 153 players started the event. The field averaged +0.066 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 89% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 153. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 78 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.368
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
25.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (75th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st4th
Justin Rose2nd3rd
Hideki Matsuyama3rd11th
Rickie Fowler4th4th
Robert Streb5th28th
Phil Mickelson6th4th
Paul Casey7th41st
Brendan Steele8th14th
J.B. Holmes9th53rd
Kevin Chappell10th41st

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Luke Donald12th71st(+59)
Graham DeLaet20th77th(+57)
Tim Wilkinson68th11th(57)
Andrew Loupe56th4th(52)
Fabián Gómez61st9th(52)
Chesson Hadley62nd11th(51)
James Hahn49th1st(48)
Dawie van der Walt76th28th(48)
J.B. Holmes9th53rd(+44)
Harold Varner III67th24th(43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Quail Hollow Club in Charlotte, North Carolina, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Wells Fargo Championship in 2015-2016?

James Hahn won the 2015-2016 Wells Fargo Championship at Quail Hollow Club, finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Wells Fargo Championship played?

The 2015-2016 Wells Fargo Championship was played at Quail Hollow Club, starting 5 May 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Wells Fargo Championship?

The winning score was 9 under par (279 strokes), posted by James Hahn.

How many players were in the Wells Fargo Championship field?

153 players started the 2015-2016 Wells Fargo Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.