OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2015-2016

Deutsche Bank Championship

2016-09-02 · TPC Boston

Winner
Rory McIlroy
Winning score
-15
Field
100
Field strength
+0.544 SG

The 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship was played at TPC Boston, starting 2 September 2016. Rory McIlroy won at 15 under par (269), 2 strokes ahead of Paul Casey. The winning card was 71, 67, 66 and 65, and the win paid $1,530,000. Paul Casey finished second, and Jimmy Walker was third. 100 players started the event. The field averaged +0.544 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 96% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 100. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 72 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.161
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
27.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (15th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st21st
Henrik Stenson2nd41st
Rory McIlroy3rd1st
Jason Day4th15th
Steve Stricker5th24th
Justin Rose6th57th
Matt Kuchar7th46th
Hideki Matsuyama8th15th
Sergio Garcia9th24th
Jim Furyk10th57th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Fabián Gómez69th5th(64)
James Hahn60th5th(55)
Justin Rose6th57th(+51)
Jim Furyk10th57th(+47)
Brendan Steele25th72nd(+47)
Smylie Kaufman71st24th(47)
Zach Johnson11th57th(+46)
Brian Stuard67th21st(46)
Brooks Koepka13th57th(+44)
Si Woo Kim59th15th(44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Boston in Norton, Massachusetts, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Deutsche Bank Championship in 2015-2016?

Rory McIlroy won the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship at TPC Boston, finishing 15 under par.

Where was the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship played?

The 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship was played at TPC Boston, starting 2 September 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship?

The winning score was 15 under par (269 strokes), posted by Rory McIlroy.

How many players were in the Deutsche Bank Championship field?

100 players started the 2015-2016 Deutsche Bank Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.