OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Waste Management Phoenix Open

2017-02-02 · TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course)

Winner
Hideki Matsuyama
Winning score
-17
Field
131
Field strength
+0.146 SG

The 2016-2017 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 2 February 2017. Hideki Matsuyama won at 17 under par (267). The winning card was 65, 68, 68 and 66, and the win paid $1,206,000. Webb Simpson finished second, and Louis Oosthuizen was third. 131 players started the event. The field averaged +0.146 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 91% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 131. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.334
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
21.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (65th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st9th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd1st
Rickie Fowler3rd4th
Phil Mickelson4th16th
Ryan Moore5th61st
Matt Kuchar6th9th
Brooks Koepka7th42nd
Patrick Reed8th68th
Zach Johnson9th12th
Webb Simpson10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
J.J. Spaun65th4th(61)
Patrick Reed8th68th(+60)
Kevin Chappell16th75th(+59)
Byeong Hun An64th6th(58)
Ryan Moore5th61st(+56)
Sung Kang67th12th(55)
Scott Piercy28th73rd(+45)
Ollie Schniederjans68th24th(44)
Alex Cejka33rd74th(+41)
Emiliano Grillo24th63rd(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Waste Management Phoenix Open in 2016-2017?

Hideki Matsuyama won the 2016-2017 Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), finishing 17 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Waste Management Phoenix Open played?

The 2016-2017 Waste Management Phoenix Open was played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course), starting 2 February 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Waste Management Phoenix Open?

The winning score was 17 under par (267 strokes), posted by Hideki Matsuyama.

How many players were in the Waste Management Phoenix Open field?

131 players started the 2016-2017 Waste Management Phoenix Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.