OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

2017-02-09 · Pebble Beach Golf Links

Winner
Jordan Spieth
Winning score
-19
Field
152
Field strength
+0.019 SG

The 2016-2017 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 9 February 2017. Jordan Spieth won at 19 under par (268), 4 strokes ahead of Kelly Kraft. The winning card was 68, 65, 65 and 70, and the win paid $1,296,000. Kelly Kraft finished second, and Dustin Johnson was third. 152 players started the event. The field averaged +0.019 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 82% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 152. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 77 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.228
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
24.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (32nd) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st1st
Jason Day2nd5th
Dustin Johnson3rd3rd
Phil Mickelson4th65th
Justin Rose5th39th
Patrick Reed6th23rd
Brandt Snedeker7th4th
Jim Furyk8th66th
Jimmy Walker9th55th
William McGirt10th66th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Phil Mickelson4th65th(+61)
Jim Furyk8th66th(+58)
William McGirt10th66th(+56)
Kelly Kraft52nd2nd(50)
Mackenzie Hughes59th10th(49)
Rob Oppenheim56th8th(48)
Ken Duke71st23rd(48)
Trey Mullinax61st14th(47)
Jimmy Walker9th55th(+46)
Sean O'Hair22nd66th(+44)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links in Pebble Beach, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in 2016-2017?

Jordan Spieth won the 2016-2017 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at Pebble Beach Golf Links, finishing 19 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am played?

The 2016-2017 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am was played at Pebble Beach Golf Links, starting 9 February 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

The winning score was 19 under par (268 strokes), posted by Jordan Spieth.

How many players were in the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am field?

152 players started the 2016-2017 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.