Tournaments / 2016-2017
Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard
2017-03-16 · Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge
- Winner
- Marc Leishman
- Winning score
- -11
- Field
- 118
- Field strength
- +0.268 SG
The 2016-2017 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 16 March 2017. Marc Leishman won at 11 under par (277), 1 stroke ahead of Charley Hoffman. The winning card was 71, 66, 71 and 69, and the win paid $1,566,000. Charley Hoffman and Kevin Kisner tied for second. 118 players started the event. The field averaged +0.268 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.
Final leaderboard
Top 20 of 118. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.
- Marc Leishman
- Pos
- 1
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 277
- Charley Hoffman
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 71
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 278
- Kevin Kisner
- Pos
- T2
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 67
- R3
- 68
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 278
- Rory McIlroy
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 279
- Tyrrell Hatton
- Pos
- T4
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 279
- Adam Hadwin
- Pos
- 6
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 280
- Emiliano Grillo
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 78
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 281
- Francesco Molinari
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 70
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 74
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 281
- Lucas Glover
- Pos
- T7
- R1
- 68
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 281
- Hudson Swafford
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 282
- Tommy Fleetwood
- Pos
- T10
- R1
- 78
- R2
- 66
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 68
- Total
- 282
- Rickie Fowler
- Pos
- 12
- R1
- 74
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 65
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 283
- Billy Horschel
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 73
- R3
- 67
- R4
- 72
- Total
- 284
- Brian Harman
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 72
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 69
- Total
- 284
- Justin Rose
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 70
- R4
- 73
- Total
- 284
- Matt Fitzpatrick
- Pos
- T13
- R1
- 67
- R2
- 69
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 76
- Total
- 284
- Danny Lee
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 75
- R2
- 70
- R3
- 73
- R4
- 67
- Total
- 285
- Greg Chalmers
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 69
- R2
- 72
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 285
- Kyle Stanley
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 73
- R2
- 68
- R3
- 69
- R4
- 75
- Total
- 285
- Luke List
- Pos
- T17
- R1
- 71
- R2
- 71
- R3
- 72
- R4
- 71
- Total
- 285
Model score
Backtest · reconstructedOur course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 71 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.
- Rank correlation
- +0.345
- Top-20 hit rate
- 40%
- Top-10 avg model rank
- 21.5
Grade is this event’s percentile (68th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.
Who the model liked
Its top 10, and where they finished.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1st | 45th |
| Rickie Fowler | 2nd | 12th |
| Rory McIlroy | 3rd | 4th |
| Jason Day | 4th | 23rd |
| Justin Rose | 5th | 13th |
| Paul Casey | 6th | 41st |
| Ryan Moore | 7th | 34th |
| Louis Oosthuizen | 8th | 28th |
| Bubba Watson | 9th | 34th |
| Brandt Snedeker | 10th | 28th |
Where it was most wrong
Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.
| Player | Model | Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Zach Johnson | 12th | 66th(+54) |
| Jeunghun Wang | 71st | 23rd(−48) |
| Matt Fitzpatrick | 60th | 13th(−47) |
| Greg Chalmers | 62nd | 17th(−45) |
| Hideki Matsuyama | 1st | 45th(+44) |
| Charley Hoffman | 45th | 2nd(−43) |
| Brandon Hagy | 67th | 28th(−39) |
| Charles Howell III | 20th | 56th(+36) |
| David Lingmerth | 36th | 72nd(+36) |
| Tyrrell Hatton | 40th | 4th(−36) |
One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.
The venue
This event was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge in Orlando, Florida, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.
Common questions
Who won the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard in 2016-2017?
- Marc Leishman won the 2016-2017 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, finishing 11 under par.
Where was the 2016-2017 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard played?
- The 2016-2017 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard was played at Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge, starting 16 March 2017.
What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard?
- The winning score was 11 under par (277 strokes), posted by Marc Leishman.
How many players were in the Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard field?
- 118 players started the 2016-2017 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.
Where these numbers come from
Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.