OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Masters Tournament

2017-04-06 · Augusta National Golf Club

Winner
Sergio Garcia
Winning score
-9
Field
93
Field strength
+0.637 SG

The 2016-2017 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 6 April 2017. Sergio Garcia won at 9 under par (279). The winning card was 71, 69, 70 and 69, and the win paid $1,980,000. Justin Rose finished second, and Charl Schwartzel was third. 93 players started the event. The field averaged +0.637 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 65% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 93. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 53 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.538
Top-20 hit rate
60%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.8

Grade is this event’s percentile (98th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st11th
Rory McIlroy2nd7th
Jason Day3rd22nd
Hideki Matsuyama4th11th
Rickie Fowler5th11th
Justin Rose6th2nd
Paul Casey7th6th
Adam Scott8th9th
Phil Mickelson9th22nd
Daniel Berger10th27th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Thomas Pieters43rd4th(39)
J.B. Holmes13th50th(+37)
Kevin Chappell39th7th(32)
Louis Oosthuizen14th41st(+27)
Marc Leishman16th43rd(+27)
Emiliano Grillo24th51st(+27)
Fred Couples41st18th(23)
Charl Schwartzel25th3rd(22)
Jason Day3rd22nd(+19)
Martin Kaymer34th16th(18)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Augusta National Golf Club in Augusta, Georgia, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Masters Tournament in 2016-2017?

Sergio Garcia won the 2016-2017 Masters Tournament at Augusta National Golf Club, finishing 9 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Masters Tournament played?

The 2016-2017 Masters Tournament was played at Augusta National Golf Club, starting 6 April 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Masters Tournament?

The winning score was 9 under par (279 strokes), posted by Sergio Garcia.

How many players were in the Masters Tournament field?

93 players started the 2016-2017 Masters Tournament. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.