OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

SBS Tournament of Champions

2017-01-05 · Plantation Course at Kapalua

Winner
Justin Thomas
Winning score
-22
Field
33
Field strength
+0.424 SG

The 2016-2017 SBS Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 5 January 2017. Justin Thomas won at 22 under par (270), 3 strokes ahead of Hideki Matsuyama. The winning card was 67, 67, 67 and 69, and the win paid $1,220,000. Hideki Matsuyama finished second, and Jordan Spieth, Pat Perez and Ryan Moore tied for third. 33 players started the event. The field averaged +0.424 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 33. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 32 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.486
Top-16 hit rate
75%
Top-10 avg model rank
9.7

Grade is this event’s percentile (95th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Hideki Matsuyama1st2nd
Jordan Spieth2nd3rd
Jason Day3rd12th
Dustin Johnson4th6th
Ryan Moore5th3rd
Bubba Watson6th25th
Daniel Berger7th14th
Russell Knox8th17th
Brandt Snedeker9th14th
Patrick Reed10th6th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Bubba Watson6th25th(+19)
Branden Grace13th32nd(+19)
Tony Finau25th9th(16)
Jim Herman27th12th(15)
Pat Perez16th3rd(13)
Si Woo Kim17th30th(+13)
Brendan Steele18th6th(12)
Justin Thomas12th1st(11)
Jhonattan Vegas19th30th(+11)
Jason Dufner11th21st(+10)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua in Kapalua, Maui, Hawaii, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the SBS Tournament of Champions in 2016-2017?

Justin Thomas won the 2016-2017 SBS Tournament of Champions at Plantation Course at Kapalua, finishing 22 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 SBS Tournament of Champions played?

The 2016-2017 SBS Tournament of Champions was played at Plantation Course at Kapalua, starting 5 January 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 SBS Tournament of Champions?

The winning score was 22 under par (270 strokes), posted by Justin Thomas.

How many players were in the SBS Tournament of Champions field?

33 players started the 2016-2017 SBS Tournament of Champions. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.