OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Shell Houston Open

2017-03-30 · GC of Houston

Winner
Russell Henley
Winning score
-20
Field
141
Field strength
+0.055 SG

The 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 30 March 2017. Russell Henley won at 20 under par (268), 3 strokes ahead of Sung Kang. The winning card was 67, 67, 69 and 65, and the win paid $1,260,000. Sung Kang finished second, and Luke List and Rickie Fowler tied for third. 141 players started the event. The field averaged +0.055 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 84% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 141. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 80 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Dgrade
Rank correlation
+0.204
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
28.6

Grade is this event’s percentile (26th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st3rd
Phil Mickelson2nd55th
Justin Rose3rd15th
Daniel Berger4th5th
Russell Henley5th1st
Jimmy Walker6th71st
Keegan Bradley7th15th
Jason Dufner8th12th
Charles Howell III9th39th
Billy Horschel10th55th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Jimmy Walker6th71st(+65)
Andrew Loupe75th10th(65)
Sung Kang62nd2nd(60)
Luke Donald11th69th(+58)
Phil Mickelson2nd55th(+53)
Jamie Lovemark19th71st(+52)
Jason Kokrak21st71st(+50)
Andres Gonzales73rd23rd(50)
Rafael Campos54th7th(47)
Mackenzie Hughes69th23rd(46)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at GC of Houston in Humble, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Shell Houston Open in 2016-2017?

Russell Henley won the 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open at GC of Houston, finishing 20 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open played?

The 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open was played at GC of Houston, starting 30 March 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open?

The winning score was 20 under par (268 strokes), posted by Russell Henley.

How many players were in the Shell Houston Open field?

141 players started the 2016-2017 Shell Houston Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.