OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

U.S. Open

2017-06-15 · Erin Hills

Winner
Brooks Koepka
Winning score
-16
Field
156
Field strength
+0.596 SG

The 2016-2017 U.S. Open was played at Erin Hills, starting 15 June 2017. Brooks Koepka won at 16 under par (272), 4 strokes ahead of Brian Harman. The winning card was 67, 70, 68 and 67, and the win paid $2,160,000. Brian Harman and Hideki Matsuyama tied for second. 156 players started the event. The field averaged +0.596 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 49% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 156. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 68 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.415
Top-20 hit rate
45%
Top-10 avg model rank
23.2

Grade is this event’s percentile (84th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Jordan Spieth1st35th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd2nd
Rickie Fowler3rd5th
Paul Casey4th26th
Matt Kuchar5th16th
Brooks Koepka6th1st
Louis Oosthuizen7th23rd
Sergio Garcia8th21st
Justin Thomas9th9th
Steve Stricker10th16th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Xander Schauffele57th5th(52)
Trey Mullinax61st9th(52)
Tommy Fleetwood46th4th(42)
Kevin Kisner17th58th(+41)
Gary Woodland12th50th(+38)
Eddie Pepperell53rd16th(37)
Keegan Bradley24th60th(+36)
Jordan Spieth1st35th(+34)
Branden Grace18th50th(+32)
Adam Hadwin28th60th(+32)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Erin Hills in Erin, Wisconsin, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the U.S. Open in 2016-2017?

Brooks Koepka won the 2016-2017 U.S. Open at Erin Hills, finishing 16 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 U.S. Open played?

The 2016-2017 U.S. Open was played at Erin Hills, starting 15 June 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 U.S. Open?

The winning score was 16 under par (272 strokes), posted by Brooks Koepka.

How many players were in the U.S. Open field?

156 players started the 2016-2017 U.S. Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.