OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

THE NORTHERN TRUST

2017-08-24 · Glen Oaks Club

Winner
Dustin Johnson
Winning score
-13
Field
120
Field strength
+0.441 SG

The 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Glen Oaks Club, starting 24 August 2017. Dustin Johnson won at 13 under par (267). The winning card was 65, 69, 67 and 66, and the win paid $1,575,000. Jordan Spieth finished second, and Jhonattan Vegas and Jon Rahm tied for third. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.441 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 98% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Agrade
Rank correlation
+0.512
Top-20 hit rate
65%
Top-10 avg model rank
16.0

Grade is this event’s percentile (97th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Henrik Stenson1st17th
Rory McIlroy2nd34th
Jordan Spieth3rd2nd
Rickie Fowler4th20th
Jason Day5th6th
Paul Casey6th5th
Dustin Johnson7th1st
Matt Kuchar8th10th
Brooks Koepka9th49th
Justin Rose10th10th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Phil Mickelson11th54th(+43)
Ian Poulter24th66th(+42)
Jon Rahm45th3rd(42)
Brooks Koepka9th49th(+40)
Patrick Cantlay47th10th(37)
Jhonattan Vegas37th3rd(34)
Xander Schauffele51st17th(34)
Robert Streb43rd10th(33)
Rory McIlroy2nd34th(+32)
Ryan Moore17th49th(+32)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Glen Oaks Club in Old Westbury, New York, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the THE NORTHERN TRUST in 2016-2017?

Dustin Johnson won the 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST at Glen Oaks Club, finishing 13 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST played?

The 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST was played at Glen Oaks Club, starting 24 August 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST?

The winning score was 13 under par (267 strokes), posted by Dustin Johnson.

How many players were in the THE NORTHERN TRUST field?

120 players started the 2016-2017 THE NORTHERN TRUST. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.