OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Valero Texas Open

2017-04-20 · TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course

Winner
Kevin Chappell
Winning score
-12
Field
151
Field strength
-0.065 SG

The 2016-2017 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 20 April 2017. Kevin Chappell won at 12 under par (276), 1 stroke ahead of Brooks Koepka. The winning card was 69, 68, 71 and 68, and the win paid $1,116,000. Brooks Koepka finished second, and Kevin Tway and Tony Finau tied for third. 151 players started the event. The field averaged -0.065 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 85% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 151. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Fgrade
Rank correlation
+0.072
Top-20 hit rate
35%
Top-10 avg model rank
30.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (6th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Matt Kuchar1st40th
Ryan Moore2nd18th
Jimmy Walker3rd13th
Brooks Koepka4th2nd
Ryan Palmer5th6th
Kevin Chappell6th1st
Adam Hadwin7th72nd
Brendan Steele8th62nd
Branden Grace9th10th
Martin Laird10th18th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Kevin Tway75th3rd(72)
Adam Hadwin7th72nd(+65)
Robby Shelton73rd16th(57)
Brendan Steele8th62nd(+54)
Jason Kokrak15th67th(+52)
J.J. Henry74th22nd(52)
Cameron Smith57th6th(51)
Gonzalo Fernandez-Castaño62nd13th(49)
Sebastián Muñoz71st27th(44)
Anirban Lahiri29th72nd(+43)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course in San Antonio, Texas, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Valero Texas Open in 2016-2017?

Kevin Chappell won the 2016-2017 Valero Texas Open at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, finishing 12 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Valero Texas Open played?

The 2016-2017 Valero Texas Open was played at TPC San Antonio - The Oaks Course, starting 20 April 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Valero Texas Open?

The winning score was 12 under par (276 strokes), posted by Kevin Chappell.

How many players were in the Valero Texas Open field?

151 players started the 2016-2017 Valero Texas Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.