OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Safeway Open

2016-10-13 · Silverado Resort (North Course)

Winner
Brendan Steele
Winning score
-18
Field
142
Field strength
+0.008 SG

The 2016-2017 Safeway Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 13 October 2016. Brendan Steele won at 18 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Patton Kizzire. The winning card was 67, 71, 67 and 65, and the win paid $1,080,000. Patton Kizzire finished second. 142 players started the event. The field averaged +0.008 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 87% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 142. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 70 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.303
Top-20 hit rate
40%
Top-10 avg model rank
17.5

Grade is this event’s percentile (54th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Justin Thomas1st8th
Kevin Na2nd7th
Paul Casey3rd3rd
Keegan Bradley4th22nd
Bill Haas5th20th
Phil Mickelson6th8th
Brendan Steele7th1st
Harris English8th35th
Chris Kirk9th8th
Chad Campbell10th57th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Cody Gribble61st8th(53)
Michael Kim53rd3rd(50)
Hudson Swafford13th62nd(+49)
Patton Kizzire51st2nd(49)
Chad Campbell10th57th(+47)
Mackenzie Hughes57th13th(44)
Trey Mullinax65th22nd(43)
Danny Lee12th50th(+38)
Ricky Barnes19th57th(+38)
Zac Blair24th62nd(+38)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Silverado Resort (North Course) in Napa, California, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Safeway Open in 2016-2017?

Brendan Steele won the 2016-2017 Safeway Open at Silverado Resort (North Course), finishing 18 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Safeway Open played?

The 2016-2017 Safeway Open was played at Silverado Resort (North Course), starting 13 October 2016.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Safeway Open?

The winning score was 18 under par (270 strokes), posted by Brendan Steele.

How many players were in the Safeway Open field?

142 players started the 2016-2017 Safeway Open. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.