OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

Quicken Loans National

2017-06-29 · TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm

Winner
Kyle Stanley
Winning score
-7
Field
120
Field strength
+0.068 SG

The 2016-2017 Quicken Loans National was played at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm, starting 29 June 2017. Kyle Stanley won at 7 under par (273). The winning card was 70, 70, 67 and 66, and the win paid $1,278,000. Charles Howell III finished second, and Martin Laird and Rickie Fowler tied for third. 120 players started the event. The field averaged +0.068 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 94% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 120. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 74 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Cgrade
Rank correlation
+0.310
Top-20 hit rate
50%
Top-10 avg model rank
18.1

Grade is this event’s percentile (57th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rickie Fowler1st3rd
Patrick Reed2nd17th
Marc Leishman3rd5th
Russell Henley4th46th
Kevin Na5th22nd
Keegan Bradley6th5th
J.B. Holmes7th68th
Bill Haas8th13th
Lucas Glover9th43rd
Charles Howell III10th2nd

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Curtis Luck72nd5th(67)
David Hearn11th73rd(+62)
J.B. Holmes7th68th(+61)
Bryson DeChambeau70th17th(53)
Tim Wilkinson20th72nd(+52)
Jason Gore64th13th(51)
Johnson Wagner52nd5th(47)
Billy Hurley III19th63rd(+44)
Russell Henley4th46th(+42)
Sung Kang47th5th(42)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm in Potomac, Maryland, USA. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the Quicken Loans National in 2016-2017?

Kyle Stanley won the 2016-2017 Quicken Loans National at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm, finishing 7 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 Quicken Loans National played?

The 2016-2017 Quicken Loans National was played at TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm, starting 29 June 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 Quicken Loans National?

The winning score was 7 under par (273 strokes), posted by Kyle Stanley.

How many players were in the Quicken Loans National field?

120 players started the 2016-2017 Quicken Loans National. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.