OTIS Golf

Tournaments / 2016-2017

World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship

2017-03-02 · Club de Golf Chapultepec

Winner
Dustin Johnson
Winning score
-14
Field
77
Field strength
+0.738 SG

The 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 2 March 2017. Dustin Johnson won at 14 under par (270), 1 stroke ahead of Tommy Fleetwood. The winning card was 70, 66, 66 and 68, and the win paid $1,660,000. Tommy Fleetwood finished second, and Jon Rahm and Ross Fisher tied for third. 77 players started the event. The field averaged +0.738 strokes gained per round against the tour baseline, with strokes-gained data covering 62% of the players. The full leaderboard below lists every player's finish position, round scores and total to par. Every figure on this page comes from the PGA Tour's published final leaderboard for the event — nothing here is estimated or modelled.

Final leaderboard

Top 20 of 77. Search finds any player in the field, including those who missed the cut.

Model score

Backtest · reconstructed

Our course-fit model re-run as it would have seen this week — using only data that existed before the first tee shot — then compared with how the 75 players actually finished. It was not published in advance, so this measures the model, not a call we made.

Bgrade
Rank correlation
+0.424
Top-20 hit rate
55%
Top-10 avg model rank
29.9

Grade is this event’s percentile (86th) against every other event we have scored — not an absolute pass mark. Rank correlation runs −1 to +1, where 0 is a coin flip and a full-field golf model landing near +0.35 is a genuine read.

Who the model liked

Its top 10, and where they finished.

PlayerModelFinish
Rory McIlroy1st7th
Hideki Matsuyama2nd25th
Rickie Fowler3rd16th
Jordan Spieth4th12th
Dustin Johnson5th1st
Adam Scott6th45th
Paul Casey7th16th
Justin Rose8th38th
Phil Mickelson9th7th
Matt Kuchar10th20th

Where it was most wrong

Largest gaps between rank and result, either direction.

PlayerModelFinish
Tommy Fleetwood70th2nd(68)
Fabrizio Zanotti65th12th(53)
Matt Fitzpatrick66th16th(50)
Russell Knox22nd70th(+48)
Jim Furyk16th58th(+42)
Ross Fisher45th3rd(42)
Thomas Pieters47th5th(42)
Patrick Reed20th61st(+41)
Adam Scott6th45th(+39)
Kevin Na13th52nd(+39)

One known caveat. Player stats, form and course history are all restricted to what existed before this event. The course archetype is not — it is derived from the venue’s full history, including this edition. That flatters the model slightly and equally at every venue. How the model works.

The venue

This event was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec in Mexico City, MEX. The venue page carries its scorecard, hosting history and every other tour event played there.

Common questions

Who won the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship in 2016-2017?

Dustin Johnson won the 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship at Club de Golf Chapultepec, finishing 14 under par.

Where was the 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship played?

The 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship was played at Club de Golf Chapultepec, starting 2 March 2017.

What was the winning score at the 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship?

The winning score was 14 under par (270 strokes), posted by Dustin Johnson.

How many players were in the World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship field?

77 players started the 2016-2017 World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship. Every one of them appears on the leaderboard below.

Where these numbers come from

Finishes, round scores and to-par figures are the PGA Tour's own published final leaderboard for this event. Nothing is estimated or interpolated — where the tour published no value, this page shows a gap rather than a guess. Full sourcing notes are on the methodology page, and every stat name is defined in the glossary.